Published and Accepted Papers
Do Quicker Admission Decisions by Colleges Improve College Yields?
with Renee Barger and Mark Umbricht
Accepted at The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy
Abstract
This paper examines whether the time institutions take to issue admissions decisions is associated with students' enrollment behavior. Using administrative data on all applicants to 13 public universities in North Carolina, linked to National Student Clearinghouse enrollment records, we study variation in the number of days between application completion and admission notification. Across a wide range of specifications, admissions decision timing exhibits little association with enrollment at the admitting institution or with where students enroll when they decline an offer. Even at the upper bounds of confidence intervals, faster decisions are associated with economically small changes in enrollment probabilities. Moreover, decision timing does not predict shifts across public, private, or out-of-state enrollment destinations, indicating that quicker admissions decisions are unlikely to alter system-wide enrollment patterns in public higher education.
Bridging the Gap to Access? Impact of a Pre-Collegiate Summer Program on College Outcomes
Education Finance and Policy, 2026
Abstract and Links
U.S. colleges face persistent inequities not only in who enrolls, but in who ultimately graduates. This paper evaluates the causal impact of BSP, an eight-week pre-collegiate summer initiative at a large public land-grant university designed to support first-generation and low-income students in their transition to college. Leveraging a fuzzy regression discontinuity design within a local randomization framework, I find that BSP substantially improves first-year completion and second-year persistence. While participants receive a $2,500 annual scholarship, comparative analyses of similar financial aid programs suggest that the bundled nature of BSP, including structured summer programming, academic mentoring, and peer support, is central to its effectiveness. These findings underscore the importance of holistic interventions that address both financial and nonfinancial barriers to student success.
What Happens When We Pay Our Teachers More? Evidence from New Jersey Public Schools
Economics of Education Review, 2026
Abstract and Links
This paper examines the impact of increasing teacher salaries on student outcomes by exploiting variation from the “50K The First Day” campaign that established a $50,000 salary floor for new teachers across New Jersey school districts. Using school-level data from 2003 to 2019, I employ a staggered difference-in-differences design and first show that the campaign shifted the entire salary schedule, raising pay for incumbents as well as new teachers. Achievement gains emerge gradually. By five years after adoption, high school Math and ELA scores increase by approximately 0.15–0.20 and 0.12–0.17 standard deviations, respectively. Despite higher salaries across the experience distribution, per-pupil spending does not increase. Districts instead appear to finance the schedule change through modest staffing reductions. I find little evidence that teacher migration is the primary mechanism, suggesting that the improvements are more likely related to teacher motivation and the quality of new teachers entering the profession.
A Double-Shot of Organizing: How Starbucks Workers Have Inspired the Labour Movement
with Zach Schaller and Sal McCollum
Applied Economics Letters, 2026
Abstract and Links
Since the first Starbucks store unionized in Buffalo in 2021, over 700 locations have filed for elections, and broader organizing has surged. We examine whether this campaign sparked wider labor activism. Using an event study, we find that counties with a Starbucks election saw nearly six additional non-Starbucks elections on average, accounting for 21 percent of the post-2021 surge. However, a staggered difference-in-differences design reveals no wage gains for restaurant workers, suggesting that union momentum has not yet shifted bargaining power.
The Pandemic Learning Shock That Wasn't: STEM Major Choice Resilience During COVID-19
Education Economics, 2025
Abstract and Links
This study investigates whether the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and the associated shift in campus operations affected undergraduate students' decisions to remain in or switch into STEM and biology-related majors. Using longitudinal administrative data from a large U.S. public university and a staggered difference-in-differences design, I find no meaningful effects of the pandemic's onset on semester-level registration in STEM majors or on switching into STEM. Robustness checks, including nearest-neighbor matching, yield similar null estimates. Overall, the evidence suggests that students' field-of-study choices were largely resilient to the instructional format change, at least in the short run.
Working Papers

Current manuscripts and ongoing research projects.

Further Evidence of the Effects of Air Pollution on Crime
with Sayorn Chin and Salvador Lurbe
Under Review
Abstract and Link
This paper examines the relationship between ambient particulate pollution and crime in the United Kingdom using monthly police-recorded crime data matched to pollution, weather, and local socioeconomic controls. The empirical analysis focuses on local authority districts with a pollution monitor within 20 kilometers and estimates fixed-effects models that absorb police-agency-by-month-year shocks. We find that economically motivated offenses increase more consistently with pollution exposure than violent crime. Threshold specifications show that an additional day with AQI at or above 100 is associated with a 1.5 percent increase in property crime, while the corresponding violent-crime estimate is small and statistically insignificant. The offense pattern is more consistent with cognitive-load and perceived-deterrence channels than with a pure aggression mechanism, though the estimates should be interpreted as conditional associations rather than definitive causal effects.
Excess Emissions and Infant Health: Evidence from Texas
with Susan Averett and Sayorn Chin
Working Paper
Abstract
States have long granted industrial facilities exemptions from Clean Air Act penalties for “excess emissions,” the unanticipated pollution releases from start-ups, shutdowns, and malfunctions. Linking more than two million confidential Texas birth records from 2003 to 2010 to the state's facility-level excess-emissions registry, we use within-tract variation in wind direction on event days to identify the causal effect of acute pollution shocks on infant health. Excess emissions sharply increase local ambient ozone. One hundred additional tons of NOx within 15 miles of a monitor raises daily mean ozone by about 56 ppb. Mothers whose tracts lie downwind on a larger share of pregnancy-window event days deliver infants with lower birth weight and a higher probability of preterm birth. Short-duration emission spikes, though often treated as exceptional, have measurable consequences for early-life health.
The Effects of the NC Promise Tuition Reduction on Student Employment, Financing, and Degree Completion
Working Paper
Abstract
A tuition reduction provides students with an immediate price benefit, but its behavioral effects depend on which part of the student budget adjusts. I study North Carolina's NC Promise Tuition Plan, which sharply reduced tuition at three regional public universities beginning in academic year 2018–19. The primary design follows 175,176 students enrolled immediately before implementation, assigns treatment according to each student's pre-policy campus, includes student fixed effects, and compares students from the same UNC entry cohort in the same academic year. I find little evidence that lower tuition meaningfully changes covered employment or students' overall work intensity while enrolled. Financing adjusts instead. The probability of borrowing falls by approximately 4.5 percentage points, while grants and work-study support also decline. The tuition benefit therefore appears to reduce future debt obligations and students' reliance on other current resources rather than substantially releasing time from paid work. Degree completion does not accelerate. Depending on how policy exposure is defined, four-year graduation falls by approximately 1.7 to 4.8 percentage points. A model of financing substitution and endogenous time to degree helps explain this joint pattern: lower tuition can reduce future repayment obligations without materially changing employment, while a recurring subsidy may also lower the private cost of remaining enrolled. Overall, NC Promise delivered substantial price and debt relief, with the primary adjustment margins occurring through financing and completion timing rather than a retreat from paid work.
  • More the Merrier? Out-of-State Enrollment and In-State Student Outcomes
  • Peers, Professors, and Paychecks: How Classroom Diversity Shapes Business and Economics Majors and Jobs
  • The Siren of the Labor Movement: Spillover Effects from Starbucks Organizing with Zach Schaller, Sal McCollum, and Monica Opoku
Policy-Relevant Research

Selected peer-reviewed and applied research produced with government, nonprofit, and community partners.

Impact of Remittances on Economic Growth in Nepal
with George P. Gonpu
Nepal Public Policy Review, 2021
Description and Link
This project began during my undergraduate econometrics coursework and introduced me to time-series analysis and applied policy research. It also shaped how I think about empirical limitations, the distinction between correlation and causation, and the value of communicating research to policy audiences.
Agricultural Conservation Networks in Iowa and the Landscape of Farm-to-School Coordination
Description and Links
These interdisciplinary projects were completed through the Institute for Research in the Social Sciences. The first used social network analysis to study how relationships among farmers shape agricultural practices and was supported by the Environmental Defense Fund. The second was conducted with the National Farm to School Network and used interviews, a national survey, participant observation, and other mixed methods to examine farm-to-school coordination and the role of designated coordinators.
Economic Impact of the Ute Theatre in Garfield County, Colorado
Description and Links
This CSU Extension project examined the economic and sociocultural importance of the Ute Theatre in Rifle, Colorado. I developed an input-output model using IMPLAN data and designed and administered a community survey to assess the historical venue's broader importance to residents. In designing the survey flyer and in-person questionnaires, I finally made use of the many hours I spent in high school learning how to use Photoshop. Ex post, I was humbled to discover that many free websites online could probably have designed the flyers better.